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Michael Jordan rejoining the Bulls after his minor league stint. Lamar Jackson running back onto the field after a mid-game bathroom break. Brett Favre announcing his un-retirement for the 2nd 3rd 4th time. Like some of the most memorable returns in sports history, Will’s Picks is back for Week 7.
Have I gotten any wiser, one might ask? Almost certainly not, but I’ve studied the board like a law student preparing for the bar, and I feel confident going into this week. Let’s make some money.
Cincinnati (+6.5) v Baltimore
I’m starting to really like this Bengals team, and I think they’ll be able to hang with Lamar Jackson and the Ravens. The Cincy offense hasn’t looked like the hottest girl at the bar, but they’re still someone you’d brag about taking home with you. To this point, they’ve done exactly what you’d want from them - beaten the shitty teams, and played the great teams on their schedule (Kansas City and Green Bay) close. Keep in mind, they also have a legit defense, and are built to stop the run (90.5 yd/gm). I’ll admit, you probably can’t fully stop the Baltimore run, but they’ll slow the horses down.
On the flip-side, the Ravens defense is in the bottom third of the NFL in passing yards allowed, and I expect Joey Burrow to eat on Sunday. Baltimore is a great team, and Lamar Jackson might be the most electric athlete since Curry was at his peak, but I expect the Bengals to keep this within 6.5. I’ll likely sprinkle the moneyline as well.
- Bengals 24, Ravens 21
Kansas City (-5) v Tennessee
This might be the year that Mahomes regresses, Kelce starts aging out of his prime, and Tyreek slows down. As much as I hate to admit it, Chiefs kingdom might be dead…
Oh wait, they’re scoring 31 points per game, and average 434 yards per game? Anyone that says the Chiefs are “regressing” or “having a down year” either A) doesn’t understand sports, or B) lives a sad, boring life, and needs to spew bullshit that they secretly don’t believe, in order to get attention and make themselves feel like they’re interesting.
Was that too harsh? Eh, could’ve been. My point stands, however. The Chiefs are rolling, yet again, and five points isn’t enough against a Tennessee team who lost to *checks notes* the New York Jets. Yes, the Titans had a great win last week against the Bills, but this is a big-time letdown spot, and you can only ride Derrick Henry so much. I expect Pat Mahomes to put up monster numbers, and the Chiefs to win big.
- Chiefs 35, Titans 17
Washington v Green Bay Over 47.5
I LOVE the total in this one. Washington has covered in 67% of their games this season, and they won’t have to do this one alone with Aaron Rodgers on the opposite sideline.
As a Washington fan, I’ve completely given up on the season. Turns out, the Old Dominion graduate, former XFL backup, isn't the superstar that we were hoping for (shocker), and in my eyes it’s back to square one. That being said, Taylor Heinicke (ask me how many times I Googled his last name to check my spelling) plays with all gas, no brakes, and the WFT can put up points. While it doesn’t always look pretty, Heinicke, Terry McLaurin, and Antonio Gibson have been able to find the endzone more than I would have guessed, and I expect that to continue against Green Bay.
Green Bay, on the other hand, has been ascending, and Rodgers is still that dude. Washington’s defense has been disappointing, to put it lightly, and anything less than elite isn’t enough to slow down Rodgers and Davante Adams. This one will probably get out of hand early, but I know this Washington team won’t quit fighting, and could score a couple of garbage time touchdowns to solidify the over. It’s up to Washington to help out Green Bay in this one, and it’ll get done. Sit back and root for points.
- Washington 20, Packers 31
*Lines Courtesy of Barstool Sportsbook*
