MLB Preview 4-21-21

Houston Astros v. Colorado Rockies

Projected Starters: Jose Urquidy v. Austin Gomber

Neither of these two teams have enjoyed particularly good starts to the season and a big reason is their pitching. Both the Astros and the Rockies own below average runs allowed ranks that have doomed them to below .500 records in the early goings. Today both pitchers on the mound have an ERA of 3.50 or higher and will have to toss fastballs in the high altitude of Coors Field where the ball flies out of the park.

The Bet: Over 9.5 Total Runs

Milwaukee Brewers v. San Diego Padres

Projected Starters: Adrian Houser v. Dinelson Lamet

Don’t look now but the Brewers are actually better than the Padres. Milwaukee is 10-7 overall and 7-3 in their past 10 games including back-to-back wins over this San Diego team. The Padres are 10-9 overall and 4-6 in their past 10 games and are on the verge of being swept at home by the Brewers. The odds are skewed in the Padres favor because of their big names and offseason hype but the value here is on the Brewers who will be hitting against an opposing starting pitcher making his first start of the season. 

The Bet: Brewers Moneyline

Atlanta Braves v. New York Yankees

Projected Starters: Ian Anderson v. Corey Kluber

Neither of these teams have lived up to their offseason hype so far this year. Both teams are multiple games below .500 and are nowhere close to leading their division as many pundits expected. The Yankees made the low risk signing of Kluber in the offseason despite him missing all of last season due to Tommy John surgery. Kluber has looked bad in his first two starts but I think he bounces back to his old self tonight now that he has a few reps under his belt. Oh, it also helps that Ronald Acuna Jr. is day-to-day with an injury for the Braves.

The Bet: Yankees Moneyline

New York Mets v. Chicago Cubs

Projected Starters: David Peterson v. Zach Davies

This matchup pits two of the MLB’s worst offenses against each other in the Windy City. The Mets rank dead last in runs scored per game while the Cubs rank 28th at a measly 3.4 runs scored per game. The Mets will have Peterson on the mound tonight who is not a household name but is actually a solid pitcher. His raw numbers on the year are poor but most of that comes from one start against the Phillies when they were hitting the lights out of the ball in their first few games. I expect Peterson to silence the cold Cubs bats and pull out a rather easy win in a low scoring affair.

The Bet: Mets Runline

Fancy a Parlay?

Adjusted Unders of 10.5 Total Runs in Cardinals v. Nationals & Rays v. Royals

Both games feature solid starting pitching matchups and over/unders that are favorable to the lower side.